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Jun
19


Long Beach Mortgage Rates Report: June 19, 2008

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We're still advising all Long Beach borrowers to lock all mortgage rates at application. The risk of the Fed raising rates far exceeds the opportunity for lower term rates. Watch this one minute video to understand what exactly has been happening in the mortgage markets, since May 2, 2008 and what I think WILL happen in June and July, to mortgage rates.

 

Brian Brady

(858)-777-9751

brian(at) californialoanconnection (dot) com

http://www.lauriemanny.com/003B35
Posted on 2008-06-19 @ 2.08:23 pm by Brian.Brady
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Jun
12


Long Beach Mortgage Rates Report: June 12, 2008

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Long Beach mortgage rates are headed higher.  Lock all rates at application, regardless of closing date.

 

The trend is clear; the Fed believes it has done all it can to stave off the banking crises and is now focusing its efforts on inflation.  This morning, retail sales were up and the dollar is strengthening.  If stagflation is the fear, the current strategy of targeting core inflation may be abandoned for the more radical Paul Volcker-style approach to tame inflation. 

 

While I believe the higher mortgage rate cycle will be shorter than the 80-s style interest rate hikes, it's clear to me that Bernanke is talking differently than he did in 2006 and 2007.  The effect?  We could see Long Beach mortgage rates rise as much as 2% in the next two years.  I still believe that a five year ARM will offer the best solution because interest rates move in cycles; I think we'll see mortgage rates under 6% again in 2011.  Today?  The trend looks like we're headed higher.

 

What then, should be your strategy?

 

1- If you were thinking of refinancing your home loan, apply now.  There will be little periods of weakness in rates this year and you should jump on any chance you have to get a 5/1 ARM under 6% or a 30 year fixed rate under 6.5%.

 

2- If you can't get the home loan you want today, get your documentation to me anyway. Secure an approval that is good for 90 days and wait for those periods of weakness to lock in the right rate.

 

3- If you were thinking of buying a home in Long Beach, mortgage rates are about as good as they'll get for the next two years.  Get pre-approved, contact your REALTOR and start looking.

 

Brian Brady

(858)-777-9751

brian(at) californialoanconnection (dot) com

 

For faster service, apply online, fax your most recent paystub, 2007 and 2006 W-2 form, and most recent bank statement to 858-605-4230, and call me immediately.

http://www.lauriemanny.com/003A44
Posted on 2008-06-12 @ 7.27:19 am by Brian.Brady
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Jun
09


Long Beach Mortgage Rates Report: June 9, 2008

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loanLong Beach mortgage rates are behaving exactly as I expected they would when I reissued my lock recommendation on May 29, 2008.  What then for June, 2008 mortgage rates? 

Expect more volatility.  The Fed's in a weird spot.  The economy is tanking under the pressure of high gas prices and the real estate recession.  The tax rebates are mailed and that money's been spent.  Gasoline is at $4.00/gallon.  Food costs are spiraling from the dumb ethanol energy policy. Ben Bernanke doesn't know if he should be fighting inflation on Monday or preventing a depression on Tuesday.  His mixed signals are being perceived as a potential rate hike which has kept Long Beach mortgage rates above 6% these past two weeks.

A thirty-year fixed rate loan is at 6.375% now.  The 5/1 ARM I loved so much at 5.375% has risen to 5.5%.  I'm not certain that we'll see those rates come down this month.  If you have a June or early July closing, lock your mortgage rate now.  I do, however see the weak economy outweighing the inflationary fear.  The Saudis are attempting to increase production which leads me to believe that they think the bull market in oil is over.  If you have a closing in July, or are considering a refinance, I think you can float your rate until mortgage rates drop below 6%. 

If you're thinking of refinancing, it makes complete sense to start the process now by applying for a home loan.  I expect credit guidelines to tighten throughout the summer.  While I think you can hold off on your mortgage rate lock, you should get the documentation in so that the loan can be underwritten in June.  Loan approvals are usually good for 60 days so you can lock and close when rates come back down.

In summary: Lock all loans closing within 30 days, float the rest.

PS:  This could change daily.  Market volatility is such that I could move to an "all float" recommendation if the reaction to the Saudis summit is positive.  If oil gets down below $120/barrel, The Fed won't worry so much about inflation.  As always, keep checking back or subscribe to my RSS feed.

http://www.lauriemanny.com/0039F2
Posted on 2008-06-09 @ 3.51:55 pm by Brian.Brady
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Jun
06


Can We Save the Long Beach Condo Market?

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The Long Beach condo market experienced a significant decline before the mortgage credit crunch started.  In fact, Southern California was one of the markets that promulgated the credit crunch with its higher than normal foreclosure rate.  On August 2, 2007, American Home Mortgage went belly-up, sparking a chain reaction of A paper lenders to close their doors, permanently.  262 lending institutions have "imploded" since the sub-prime mortgage decline in late 2006. The mortgage industry contraction has exacerbated the Long Beach housing market decline, especially the condominium market.

It doesn't have to stay like this.

Condominium management associations are dealing with stressed out homeowner associations who are responding to angry homeowners.  "Where are all the qualiied buyers?", they demand.  "Why is the Long Beach condominium market in a free fall?"

I have the answer.  Nobody can get financed.  Well, nobody is a strong word; very few can get financing for Long Beach condominiums.  On June 2, 2008, Fannie Mae severely limited its approvals for Long Beach condominium financing; now, you need at least 10% downpayment to get a loan for a condominium....UNLESS...

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http://www.lauriemanny.com/00398D
Posted on 2008-06-06 @ 7.49:49 pm by Brian.Brady
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Jun
04


Alamitos Beach Condos Market Report-2008-Long Beach Real Estate Sales

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Alamitos Beach Condos Market Report

2008

Long Beach Real Estate Sales

Alamitos Beach Condos Market Report-Long Beach Real Estate For Sale

Ocean Boulevard Corridor Condo Sales

 

January 1, 2008 - June 3, 2008

 

Active

 

There are currently 59 Ocean Blvd Corridor Condos For Sale in Alamitos Beach, many with fantastic waterfront views, some with city views.

  • 17 of these condos are priced under $500,000 and range from 580 sq ft to 1,128 sq ft.
  • 28 of these condos are priced between $500,000 and $1,000,000 and range from 846 sq ft to 1,850 sq ft.
  • 13 of these condos are priced between $1,000,000 and $1,499,000 and range from 1,264 sq ft to 2,065 sq ft.

 

 

Pending

 

5 Alamitos Beach Condos are pending in escrow.

  • 3 bedroom, 2 bath, 1,535 sq ft., $930,000, 51 Days on Market
  • 2 bedroom, 2 bath, 1,245 sq ft., $619,000, 182 Days on Market
  • 3 bedroom, 2 bath, 1,818 sq ft., $774,900, 83 Days on Market
  • 3 bedroom, 2.5 baths, 1,788 sq ft, $799,900, 100 Days on Market
  • 2 bedroom, 2 bath, 1,590 sq ft., $910,000, 82 Days on Market

 

 

Back Up Offers

 

4 Alamitos Beach Condos are in escrow accepting back up offers:

  • 1 bedroom, 1 bath, 732 sq ft., $459,000, 73 Days on Market
  • 3 bedroom, 2 bath, 1,320 sq ft., $699,900, 51 Days on Market
  • 3 bedroom 3 bath, 1,788 sq ft., $899,000, 15 Days on Market
  • 3 bedroom, 2 bath, 1,800 sq ft., $1,649,000, 120 Days on Market

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http://www.lauriemanny.com/003931
Posted on 2008-06-04 @ 5.22:08 pm by Laurie.Manny
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